History suggests the answer is probably no

History suggests the answer is probably no. More often, the reversal of a yield-curve inversion has signaled that the wheels are about to come off the economy and the stock market with it, according to Tom Essaye, a former Merrill Lynch trader and founder of Sevens Report Research.

Now What? Updated Market Outlook

What’s in Today’s Report: Updated market outlook, Will yields keep rising? Weekly economic cheat sheet: Key growth updates this week.

Core PCE Price Index Preview (Good, Bad & Ugly).

What’s in Today’s Report: What the Core PCE price index will mean for markets (Good, Bad & Ugly), EIA and oil market analysis, and more…

Tom Essaye Quoted in Forbes on February 21st, 2023

Markets are admitting the Fed may not be close to done,” Sevens Report strategist Tom Essaye wrote in a Tuesday note.

Are Junk Bonds Signaling Recession?

What’s in Today’s Report: Are junk bonds signaling recession? What does terminal Fed funds mean in plain English?

Tom Essaye Joins Yahoo Finance To Discuss The Economy on February 21st, 2023

Sevens Report Research Founder and President Tom Essaye to discuss the expectations for the Fed’s upcoming FOMC minutes meeting and more…

Equity Risk Premium Hits 2007 Levels

What’s in Today’s Report: Equity risk premium at 2007 levels, Composite PMI Flash takeaways, Why are rising rates causing stocks to drop?