Is the Turkey Crisis Over?
What’s in Today’s Report:
- Is the Turkish Currency Crisis Resolved?
- Chinese Economic Data Recap (July)
- Is Copper Forecasting an August-2015-Style Volatility Spike?
Futures and most international markets traded lower overnight as contagion fears from Turkey’s currency crisis persist despite further gains in the lira.
Indonesia unexpectedly raised rates o/n to combat the “contagion effect” that is weighing on EM currencies, the second central bank to do so in the last week.
There was no market moving economic data o/n but the American Petroleum Institute’s weekly inventory report was bearish late Tuesday, leading to declines of more than 1% in oil prices this morning.
Looking ahead to the US session, there are a slew of economic reports due out this morning: Retail Sales (E: 0.1%), Empire State Manufacturing Survey (E: 20.0), Industrial Production (E: 0.3%), and Housing Market Index (E: 68) that will be in focus early.
There are no Fed officials speaking today, so aside from the data, focus will be on relations with Turkey and the ongoing EM currency contagion concerns.
So far, the Lira’s rebound from all time lows has been tentative at best, so renewed weakness in the Turkish currency could hit stocks today.