Inflation Update (Post CPI/PPI)

What’s in Today’s Report:

  • Inflation Update (Post CPI/PPI)

Futures are again little changed following another generally quiet night of news.

Economic data was minimal as the only notable report was EU exports, which missed expectations falling –0.7% vs. (E) 0.6%, but that’s not moving markets.

On the COVID front, there were mixed headlines.  ABNB said it has seen a small slowdown in bookings because of Delta (a negative), but COVID cases have potentially peaked in China (a positive).  In sum, the headlines were mixed enough that they aren’t moving markets, but we will continue to watch for more evidence that the Delta variant is altering consumer behavior.

Today the key report will be the inflation expectations in Consumer Sentiment (E: 81.4) but as long as that doesn’t spike higher, it shouldn’t move markets.  Instead, COVID headlines will continue to move markets and if there is more evidence the Delta variant is impacting travel/leisure, that will be a headwind on stocks.