SPX: Hot PPI Threatens Key Pillars of Stock Market Rally Says Sevens Report

Sevens Report president Tom Essaye warns inflation surprise clouds rate-cut hopes


SPX: PPI Shook the Pillars of the Stock Market Rally

Stocks rebounded from modest losses after Thursday’s hotter-than-expected Producer Price Index (PPI) release, but the data rattled investors. Tom Essaye, president of Sevens Report, cautioned that the July PPI “shook the pillars” of the S&P 500’s rally, which has leaned heavily on renewed rate-cut expectations.

“The headline surge was more than four times consensus and the strongest since March 2022,” Essaye said, noting that traders “sold first and asked questions later” as hopes for a September cut dimmed. Rising inflation pressures, he explained, are a direct threat to the macro drivers currently propping up equities.

Technically, Essaye sees the S&P 500 trend as “cautiously bullish” after the index hit new record highs. He flagged key resistance at 6,395, 6,427, and 6,500, while noting important support at 6,340, 6,238, and 6,104.

Also, click here to view the full article on Moneyshow.com published on August 18th, 2025. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.


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Tom Essaye: Fading AI Enthusiasm Could Threaten Market Rally Despite Strong Economy

Sevens Report warns that slowing momentum in AI stocks may weigh on equities even if growth remains resilient


10 AI Stocks Making Headlines This Week

Sevens Report founder Tom Essaye cautioned that a cooling wave of enthusiasm for AI stocks could spell trouble for the broader market. The note highlighted steep drops in C3.ai and CoreWeave following soft guidance and disappointing results.

“Those moves put a question in my head… What happens to this market if AI loses momentum?” Essaye wrote. While investors remain focused on tariffs, economic data, and Fed policy, the report warned that equities could falter even in a stable macro environment if AI names fail to deliver.

Five stocks — Nvidia, Microsoft, Meta, Broadcom, and Palantir — have powered 56% of the S&P 500’s 10.8% year-to-date gain, according to Sevens. Essaye stressed that execution will be critical as the AI trade matures. “If AI enthusiasm begins to fade, this market will face a headwind regardless of whether the economy is stable,” the report said.

Also, click here to view the full article on Insidermonkey.com published on August 16th, 2025. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.


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Bitcoin Slides After Inflation Data; Essaye Sees Long-Term Bullish Shift

Sevens Report founder notes policy support and strategic reserve chatter


Bitcoin sinks following hotter-than-expected inflation print, Bessent comments on strategic reserve

Bitcoin dropped following hotter-than-expected inflation, with strategists highlighting both macro headwinds and the Trump administration’s pro-crypto stance. “The administration is pushing crypto. They are pushing Bitcoin. Bitcoin is the lead dog in the crypto market,” said Tom Essaye, founder of Sevens Report Research, in a Yahoo Finance interview.

While Essaye acknowledged near-term froth, he stressed that structural changes—such as policy support and discussions of a strategic reserve—could underpin longer-term strength in the asset class.

Also, click here to view the full article on Yahoo Finance published on August 15th, 2025. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.


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Tom Essaye: Inflation-Driven Bitcoin Drop Doesn’t Derail Long-Term Bullish Outlook

Sevens Report founder says institutional adoption and regulation support crypto’s future despite near-term volatility


Bitcoin News Today: Bitcoin Falls 7% as U.S. Inflation Hikes Pressure Rate Cut Prospects

Bitcoin slid 7% on Friday as hotter U.S. inflation data weighed on rate-cut expectations, sparking a broad risk-off move in markets. Despite the pullback, the cryptocurrency remains up roughly 25% year-to-date and has rallied nearly 57% from April’s lows.

Tom Essaye, founder of Sevens Report Research, said the short-term volatility reflects Bitcoin’s heightened sensitivity to macroeconomic shifts. “Inflation pressures are clearly a headwind in the near term, but the longer-term outlook hasn’t changed,” Essaye noted. He pointed to institutional adoption and regulatory clarity as key drivers supporting Bitcoin’s structural bullish case.

“Volatility will always be part of crypto, but the foundation is getting stronger,” Essaye said, stressing that macro shocks don’t erase the sector’s long-term growth potential.

Also, click here to view the full article on Ainvest.com published on August 16th, 2025. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.


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Tom Essaye Warns AI-Fueled S&P 500 Rally Risks Dot-Com Style Downside

Sevens Report’s Essaye flags downside risks tied to semiconductors


Bank of America Warns S&P 500 Tops Dot-Com Bubble on AI Stock Surge

Bank of America strategists warn that the S&P 500 has surpassed dot-com era valuations, fueled by an AI-driven surge in tech leaders. Industry analysts echo similar concerns, including Tom Essaye of Sevens Report Research, who points to semiconductor indices as a key risk factor.

Essaye cautioned in remarks cited by Business Insider that if economic resilience falters, the sector could drag the broader market lower. His outlook: “considerable downside” in coming quarters, especially if inflation reaccelerates or geopolitical tensions disrupt supply chains.

Adding to the vulnerability, passive investing trends may be amplifying bubbles. With index funds funneling capital into overvalued leaders, market corrections could be sharper when momentum unwinds.

Also, click here to view the full article on Webpronews.com published on August 15th, 2025. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.


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AI Market Rally Shows Cracks as Semiconductors Lag S&P 500 – Tom Essaye

Sevens Report founder warns of late-cycle risks amid slowing economic data


BofA Warns of Dotcom Bubble Vibes in S&P 500 Valuations

Bank of America analysts compared today’s valuations to the late-1990s dotcom bubble, and Sevens Report Research founder Tom Essaye echoed those concerns. He noted that the AI-driven rally may be masking underlying risks, particularly in semiconductors.

“The SOX index isn’t keeping pace with the S&P 500, and that’s a red flag,” Essaye said, pointing out that chip stocks are the backbone of AI innovation. “If semis can’t lead, then it calls into question the sustainability of this rally.”

Essaye also flagged weakening economic indicators, including soft job gains and rising jobless claims, as evidence that the U.S. may be entering a late-cycle phase. Together, those factors increase the risk that today’s market exuberance could mirror past bubbles.

Also, click here to view the full article on Ainvest.com published on August 15th, 2025. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.


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Semiconductors Signal AI Bubble Risks, Essaye Warns

Sevens Report highlights divergence between SOX and S&P 500


What happens to the stock market when the AI bubble bursts?

A lack of ROI and diminishing returns in artificial intelligence make its bubble a question of when, not if, according to Sevens Report Research founder Tom Essaye. He pointed to semiconductor stocks as the “canary in the coal mine” for the AI trade.

In a recent client note, Essaye highlighted that the PHLX Semiconductor Index (SOX) remains below its July 2024 highs, even as the S&P 500 gained more than 10% in the same stretch.

“The takeaway here is that if AI remains the primary source of bullish optimism for a continued rally in the broader stock market in the months and quarters ahead, this market is in trouble and at risk of rolling over sooner than later as the SOX should still be leading the market higher like it was in 2024, not lagging considerably over the last 12 months,” he wrote.

Essaye cautioned that if the SOX begins to materially sell off, the S&P 500 will likely follow.

Also, click here to view the full article on Livewiremarkets.com published on August 13th, 2025. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.


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Nvidia, AMD Deal with Trump Administration Eases AI Investor Fears: Tom Essaye

Chip sales to China continue under new revenue-sharing agreement


Nvidia & AMD investors can put China chip tariff risks ‘to bed’

Sevens Report founder Tom Essaye and Allspring Global’s John Campbell discussed reports that Nvidia and AMD reached a deal with the Trump administration to resume selling chips in China, with 15% of the revenue going to the U.S. government.

Essaye said the agreement signals that the companies are “ready to play ball” with policymakers to protect growth in the AI sector. “Eighty-five percent is a lot more than zero,” he noted, calling the resolution a relief for AI-focused investors now that a major uncertainty has been removed.

Also, click here to view the full video featured on Yahoo Finance published on August 11th, 2025. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.


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Tom Essaye Interviewed: Bitcoin Still Speculative but Poised for Long-Term Gains

Institutional adoption and policy push could fuel higher prices


Is it time to view bitcoin as a stock?

John Campbell of Allspring Global Investments and Sevens Report founder Tom Essaye discussed bitcoin’s evolving role in markets, with Essaye noting that while the cryptocurrency remains somewhat speculative in the short term, institutional adoption is accelerating.

Essaye highlighted growing integration of bitcoin into traditional finance and banking, alongside policy support from the administration, as bullish long-term drivers. “Is it short-term a little frothy? Sure,” he said, “but longer term there are some fundamental changes here that I think will send it much higher.”

Also, click here to view the full video featured on Yahoo Finance published on August 11th, 2025. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.


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Tom Essaye: AI Market Maturing as Winners Like Palantir Pull Ahead

Execution separates outperformers from laggards in evolving AI trade


C3.ai stock nosedives on preliminary earnings: Where the AI trade stands

Allspring Global Investments’ John Campbell, Sevens Report founder Tom Essaye, and Yahoo Finance’s Brooke DiPalma discussed the divergence among AI stocks, highlighting Palantir’s strong earnings and raised guidance as a sign of successful execution in the sector.

Essaye noted that while some AI names continue to struggle, companies delivering results are commanding lofty valuations — with Palantir’s forward P/E ratio exceeding 500 — reflecting investor willingness to reward performance in the maturing AI market.

Also, click here to view the full video featured on Yahoo Finance published on August 11th, 2025. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.


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