“The worst of it may be over but, I’d be surprised if the pullback is over. I think we’ll go back and likely take a look at some of this week’s lows simply because the issues that have really been…” said Tom Essaye.
“Although gold futures remain near-term overbought, momentum is decidedly higher. Fundamentally, the sharp downtrends in bond yields firmly support the bullish case for gold.” said Tom Essaye. Click here to read the full article.
“The worst of it may be over but, I’d be surprised if the pullback is over. I think we’ll go back and likely take a look at some of this week’s lows simply because the issues that have really been the underlying causes…” Click here to read the full article.
Yahoo Finance’s Alexis Christoforous and Brian Sozzi talk to David Nelson, Belpointe Asset Management Chief Strategist and Tom Essaye, Sevens Report Founder and President around the opening bell to discuss Uber earnings. Click here to watch the full video.
What’s in Today’s Report:
Futures are modestly lower following a quiet weekend as civil unrest in Hong Kong weighed on investor sentiment.
Protests in Hong Kong, which have been ongoing for weeks, intensified over the weekend as all flights out of Hong Kong have been canceled. The turmoil is just adding to general geopolitical concerns and that’s pushing bond yields lower, which is why stock futures are down. The 10 year Treasury yield broke below 1.70% this morning and is trading as of this writing at 1.68%.
Economic data was sparse over the weekend and there was no new news on U.S./China trade. The next event in this drama is whether the September trade talks still occur (for now the answer is “yes” but that could change at any minute and if it does, stocks will drop).
Today the calendar is quiet as there are no economic reports and no Fed speakers, but any China related headlines will move markets.
Tyler Richey, co-editor of the Sevens Report Research, had a great interview with TD Ameritrade’s Ben Lichtenstein on August 6, discussing copper trading near 2019 lows, correlation with tenure yields, what comes next for copper, possible influencers, catalysts for copper, stocks and more…Click here to watch the full interview
Copper, a barometer for the global economy, drops to a 2-year low on trade war fears
“The combination of a disappointing Fed and an escalating trade war appears to be too much for this fragile global economy. The summer breakdown in copper…” said the Sevens Report’s Tom Essaye. Click here to read the full article.
What’s in Today’s Report:
Futures have recovered from overnight losses that were spurred by a weaker than expected yuan fixing by the PBOC and are now higher with EU markets as easier than expected central bank policy overseas is helping offset trade war angst and Forex concerns.
The Reserve Banks of New Zealand and India, and the Bank of Thailand all eased policy more than expected overnight triggering dovish money flows across asset classes underscored by new highs in gold (+1% to over $1500/oz.) and a global bond rally.
Economically, German Industrial Production was -1.5% vs. (E) -0.4% which largely contradicted yesterday’s solid Manufacturers’ Orders print.
There are no economic reports to watch today but there is one Fed official scheduled to speak: Evans (9:30 a.m. ET) and there is a 10 Year Treasury Note auction at 1:00 p.m. ET which could move markets, especially considering the 10s-2s yield spread is testing the lows of the year this morning, below 10 basis points.
Aside from those events, investors will remain focused on any new developments regarding the trade war as the latest tariff announcement (last Thursday) was the main source of the recent spike in volatility.
Wall Street reactions to China trade escalation marked by fear, uncertainty
“It’s not good, obviously. I think that it really surprised a lot of people and I think it underscores that this is not a problem that’s going to be solved in the near-term…” said Tom Essaye, a former trader who founded “The Sevens Report” newsletter. Click here to read the full article.
U.S. markets rebound after China moves to strengthen yuan
“Going forward, stabilization in the U.S.-China trade war is now the most important key to broader market stabilization,” analyst Tom Essaye said in a note to clients. Click here to read the full article.
