Earnings Season Preview: Two important factors, futures are slightly lower despite generally good news overnight, today is all about the CPI report (E: -0.1% m/m, 1.9% y/y). Both the headline and core need to stay around 2.0% yoy for this “dovish” Fed narrative to continue to grow, as a hot CPI report could undo some of the rally markets have enjoyed since last Friday and more.
Technical Market Update – Bounce or Bottom?, U.S./China Trade Update (What’s Next and What Sectors Benefit), Futures are modestly lower as markets digest the recent rally following a quiet night of news. Today focus will remain on the Fed as we get multiple Fed speakers, highlighted by Fed Chair Powell (1:00 PM) and Vice Chair Clarida (5:30 PM) and more.
Some improvement in the Economic Breaker Panel: Three breakers tripped, January update, futures are cautiously higher this morning mostly thanks to optimism about the US-China trade situation as “mid-level” meetings concluded in Beijing overnight, President Trump’s address to the nation last night regarding border security and the government shutdown did not have a material effect on markets and more.
Some encouraging signs from credit, futures are higher with international shares, today, there is one economic report to watch: International Trade (E: -$53.9B) which has been more closely watched since U.S.-China trade tensions first escalated while there are no Fed officials scheduled to speak and more.
What’s in Today’s Report: Four Keys to a Market Bottom – More Progress But Not There Yet Weekly Market Preview Weekly Economic Cheat Sheet Futures are marginally lower following a quiet weekend as markets digest Friday’s big rally. Economic data was mixed overnight as Japanese Composite PMI and German Manufacturers’ Orders missed estimates. However, German […]
How bad can it get? Valuation worst case scenario, futures are sharply higher after China took further steps to support the economy while economic data was mixed, China announced a 1% cut to bank reserve requirements requirements and pledged to do more to support the economy and more.
Jobs report preview, is the AAPL decline an opportunity for value stocks?, futures are down more than 1% as AAPL sharply cut Q4 revenue guidance, economically UK Construction PMI and Euro Zone Money supply both slightly missed expectations and more.
The Aussie-Yen points to further growth fears, S&P futures are tracking international shares lower to start the year this morning, the Chinese Caixin Manufacturing PMI Index fell 0.5% to 49.7 in December suggesting the world’s second largest economy is slipping into contraction. there is one economic report to watch: PMI Manufacturing Index and more.
2019 market outlook, weekly market preview, weekly economic cheat sheet (There are a lot of big reports this week), futures are higher on the final trading day of 2018, president Trump tweeted over the weekend that U.S./China trade talks were making “big progress,” raising expectations for a deal in early 2019 and more.
Valuation Update and a new “Fair Value” trading range, futures are extending the late Thursday gains, today investors will see if the year-end bounce can continue, there are a few economic reports including International Trade in Goods (E: -$75.7B), Chicago PMI (E: 62.4) and Pending Home Sales Index (E: 1.5%) but none of those should move markets materially and more.