Entries by Tom 2

FOMC Minutes Analysis

FOMC Minutes The FOMC minutes didn’t contain many surprises, but on balance they did confirm that the FOMC is more committed to normalizing policy than the market thought before the October meeting. Yesterday I focused on the difference between market-based and sentiment-based inflation expectations, and so too did the Fed in its minutes. The takeaway […]

Atlanta Fed Business Inflation Expectations Ticks Higher

Atlanta Fed Business Inflation Expectations YOY Business Inflation Expectations increased to 2.0% from 1.9% in October Takeaway Around 10 AM yesterday, the Dollar Index rallied and bonds sold off (a typically “hawkish” reaction). The reason was a slight uptick in the little-followed Atlanta Fed Business Inflation Expectations Survey. What made the report “hawkish” wasn’t the […]