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Deutsche Bank Boosts U.S. Stocks as Trump’s ‘TACO’ Pattern Takes Hold

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Tom Essaye explains how tariff walk-backs continue to drive market optimism

Deutsche Bank Upgrades U.S. Stock Rating On Trump’s Tariff ‘Relents’—As ‘TACO’ Trump Gains Popularity

INVESTORS LEAN INTO THE ‘TRUMP ALWAYS CHICKENS OUT’ TRADE

With markets climbing and tariff anxiety easing, Deutsche Bank has upgraded U.S. equities—citing growing confidence that Trump’s tariff threats won’t stick.

This narrative has been labeled the “TACO” trade—short for “Trump Always Chickens Out.” The term, popularized by Financial Times columnist Robert Armstrong, is gaining traction across Wall Street.

“The trade is based on the idea that Trump makes an outlandish and significant tariff proposal… but within days backtracks or waters it down.”
— Tom Essaye, Sevens Report

According to Essaye, Trump has followed this pattern repeatedly, relenting enough to blunt the economic impact of each threat.

“Trump has always chickened out so far.”

With the TACO dynamic priced in, investors are increasingly treating tariff threats as noise, not policy—fueling bullish sentiment in the process.

Also, click here to view the full Forbes article, published on June 3rd, 2025. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.

If you want research that comes with no long term commitment, yet provides independent, value added, plain English analysis of complex macro topics, then begin your Sevens Report subscription today by clicking here.

To strengthen your market knowledge take a free trial of The Sevens Report.

Join hundreds of advisors from huge brokerage firms like Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch, Wells Fargo Advisors, Raymond James, and more! To start your quarterly subscription and see how The Sevens Report can help you grow your business, click here.

Demand worries linked to the threat of a slowdown in global growth

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Demand worries linked to the threat of a slowdown in global growth: Tom Essaye Quoted in Forbes

Nvidia Stock Plunges 10% Amid Broader Stock Losses As Rocky September Kicks Off

“Demand worries linked to the threat of a slowdown in global growth are acting as the biggest influence on the oil market right now,” remarked Sevens Report analyst Tom Essaye in a Tuesday note to clients.

Also, click here to view the full Forbes article published on September 3rd, 2024. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.

Lastly, If you want research that comes with no long-term commitment, yet provides independent, value-added, plain English analysis of complex macro topics, then begin your Sevens Report subscription today by clicking here.

To strengthen your market knowledge take a free trial of The Sevens Report.

Join hundreds of advisors from huge brokerage firms like Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch, Wells Fargo Advisors, Raymond James, and more! To start your quarterly subscription and see how The Sevens Report can help you grow your business, click here.

The ultimate direction of the S&P 500 will still be determined by economic growth

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The ultimate direction of the S&P 500 will still be determined by economic growth: Tom Essaye Quoted in Forbes

Stocks Slide As Major Tech Earnings Get Off To ‘Underwhelming’ Start

The U.S. will report its second-quarter gross domestic product Wednesday morning, offering a glimpse into how well the broader economy is performing. “The ultimate direction of the S&P 500 will still be determined by economic growth,” remarked Sevens Report analyst Tom Essaye in a Monday note.

Also, click here to view the full Forbes article published on July 24th, 2024. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.

Lastly, If you want research that comes with no long-term commitment, yet provides independent, value-added, plain English analysis of complex macro topics, then begin your Sevens Report subscription today by clicking here.

To strengthen your market knowledge take a free trial of The Sevens Report.

Join hundreds of advisors from huge brokerage firms like Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch, Wells Fargo Advisors, Raymond James, and more! To start your quarterly subscription and see how The Sevens Report can help you grow your business, click here.

Corporate earnings growth and interest rate movements are likely to more directly impact equity prices.

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Corporate earnings growth and interest rate movements are likely to more directly impact equity prices: Tom Essaye Quoted in Forbes

Is Kamala Harris Good For Stocks? ‘Blue’ Sectors Like Tech Lead Monday Market Rally

The stock market fallout of shifting expectations for November’s election will likely be “very short term,” Sevens Report founder Tom Essaye wrote to clients, as more directly impactful developments like corporate earnings growth and interest rate movements are likely to more directly impact equity prices.

Also, click here to view the full Forbes article published on July 22nd, 2024. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.

Lastly, If you want research that comes with no long-term commitment, yet provides independent, value-added, plain English analysis of complex macro topics, then begin your Sevens Report subscription today by clicking here.

To strengthen your market knowledge take a free trial of The Sevens Report.

Join hundreds of advisors from huge brokerage firms like Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch, Wells Fargo Advisors, Raymond James, and more! To start your quarterly subscription and see how The Sevens Report can help you grow your business, click here.

The performance gap between tech and the rest of the market

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The performance gap between tech and the rest of the market: Tom Essaye Quoted in Forbes

Why A Magnificent 7 Breather Could Be A Good Thing For The Stock Market

“The performance gap between tech and the rest of the market is so wide that it’s reasonable to expect continued closing of that gap as markets more fully embrace the idea of the start of a rate cutting cycle,” summarized Sevens Report founder Tom Essaye, noting in the “near term” non-tech sectors may mount a catchup rally. Essaye is referring to Thursday’s strong inflation data which bolstered calls for the Federal Reserve to soon lower interest rates, which broadly help most equities but tend to favor certain rate-sensitive sectors like real estate.

Also, click here to view the full Forbes article published on July 12th, 2024. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.

Lastly, If you want research that comes with no long-term commitment, yet provides independent, value-added, plain English analysis of complex macro topics, then begin your Sevens Report subscription today by clicking here.

To strengthen your market knowledge take a free trial of The Sevens Report.

Join hundreds of advisors from huge brokerage firms like Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch, Wells Fargo Advisors, Raymond James, and more! To start your quarterly subscription and see how The Sevens Report can help you grow your business, click here.

The meme stock rally hints at a lingering complacency amongst investors

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The meme stock rally hints at a lingering complacency amongst investors: Tom Essaye Quoted in Forbes

GameStop, AMC Stocks Surge Another 100% As Meme Stock Rally Accelerates

The meme stock rally “hints at a lingering complacency amongst investors,” Sevens Report founder Tom Essaye wrote to clients Tuesday. Essaye cautioned it’s hard to draw conclusions from the price actions of relatively small stocks like AMC and GameStop, but considering the runway these stocks had to surge with little pushback, the broader market may be “vulnerable to an ‘air pocket’” on a negative catalyst.

Also, click here to view the full Forbes article published on May 14th, 2024. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.

Lastly, If you want research that comes with no long-term commitment, yet provides independent, value-added, plain English analysis of complex macro topics, then begin your Sevens Report subscription today by clicking here.

To strengthen your market knowledge take a free trial of The Sevens Report.

Join hundreds of advisors from huge brokerage firms like Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch, Wells Fargo Advisors, Raymond James, and more! To start your quarterly subscription and see how The Sevens Report can help you grow your business, click here.

“It’s Pretty Much Economics 101”

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It’s pretty much Economics 101: Tom Essaye Quoted in Forbes

Bitcoin Halving: Here’s Why Some Expect Prices To Soar

Bitcoin rose 8,069% in the 12 months after the 2012 halving, 284% following the 2016 halving and 559% after the 2020 halving.“It’s pretty much Economics 101” that bitcoin prices go up after halving, according to Sevens Report analyst Tom Essaye, who explained that so long as demand doesn’t decrease and new supply goes down, the “only thing left to move is price.”

Also, click here to view the full Forbes article published on April 17th, 2024. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.

Lastly, If you want research that comes with no long-term commitment, yet provides independent, value-added, plain English analysis of complex macro topics, then begin your Sevens Report subscription today by clicking here.

To strengthen your market knowledge take a free trial of The Sevens Report.

Join hundreds of advisors from huge brokerage firms like Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch, Wells Fargo Advisors, Raymond James, and more! To start your quarterly subscription and see how The Sevens Report can help you grow your business, click here.

Sevens Report founder Tom Essaye explains the gold rally

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Investors piled into a new refuge as the U.S. dollar lost value and interest rate expectations dwindled: Tom Essaye Quoted in Forbes

What’s Up With Gold? Here’s Why Everyone From Costco To Central Banks Is Rushing In.

Sevens Report founder Tom Essaye explains the rally initially began late last year, as investors piled into a new refuge as the U.S. dollar lost value and interest rate expectations dwindled before getting a further bump from renewed concerns in 2024 about the potential for lingering inflation. And despite the Costco mania, it’s actually institutional investors and central banks, especially those coming from China, driving much of the surging demand for gold, as investors and bankers from China and other largely non-Western countries look to hedge against an economic downturn scenario while simultaneously lessening their dependence on the American dollar.

Also, click here to view the full Forbes article published on April 10th, 2024. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.

Lastly, If you want research that comes with no long-term commitment, yet provides independent, value-added, plain English analysis of complex macro topics, then begin your Sevens Report subscription today by clicking here.

To strengthen your market knowledge take a free trial of The Sevens Report.

Join hundreds of advisors from huge brokerage firms like Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch, Wells Fargo Advisors, Raymond James, and more! To start your quarterly subscription and see how The Sevens Report can help you grow your business, click here.

Investors are on edge that the Fed may delay rate cuts

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Investors are on edge that the Fed may delay rate cuts: Tom Essaye Quoted in Forbes

Jobs Report: Unemployment Hits 3.8% As Job Growth Pops

How the jobs report impacts market expectations for an eagerly anticipated cut to interest rates, a move which would stimulate economic growth and which is currently priced in to come in June. “Investors are on edge [that] the Fed may delay rate cuts from June until later in the summer (or late in 2024) if we get another hot employment report,” Sevens Report founder Tom Essaye explained ahead of the release.

Also, click here to view the full Forbes article published on April 5th, 2024. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.

Lastly, If you want research that comes with no long-term commitment, yet provides independent, value-added, plain English analysis of complex macro topics, then begin your Sevens Report subscription today by clicking here.

To strengthen your market knowledge take a free trial of The Sevens Report.

Join hundreds of advisors from huge brokerage firms like Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch, Wells Fargo Advisors, Raymond James, and more! To start your quarterly subscription and see how The Sevens Report can help you grow your business, click here.

Earnings are not providing the proverbial ‘ray of sunshine’

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Earnings are not providing the proverbial ‘ray of sunshine’: Tom Essaye Quoted in Forbes

S&P 500 Dips To 5-Month Low As Earnings Season Highlights Struggles Of ‘Magnificent 7’ Tech Stocks To Keep Rally Afloat

Major stock indexes slipped to their lowest levels since May this week. This is as the largest technology companies struggle to hold up the broader market’s gains. An issue on full display amidst the ongoing third-quarter earnings season.

“Earnings are not providing the proverbial ‘ray of sunshine’ they did in Q1 or Q2,” Sevens Report analyst Tom Essaye wrote to clients Thursday. This earnings season “has not been good” and “hints at a potentially slowing economy,” Essaye noted.

Also, click here to view the full Forbes article published on October 26th, 2023. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.

If you want research that comes with no long term commitment, yet provides independent, value added, plain English analysis of complex macro topics, then begin your Sevens Report subscription today by clicking here.

To strengthen your market knowledge take a free trial of The Sevens Report.

Join hundreds of advisors from huge brokerage firms like Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch, Wells Fargo Advisors, Raymond James, and more! To start your quarterly subscription and see how The Sevens Report can help you grow your business, click here.