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Sevens Report: Tech Can Rally, but AI Dominance Is Uncertain

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Tom Essaye says software ETF IGV must stabilize before AI fears ease.

In a Broader Rally, Tech Can Still Win—But Maybe Not Dominate

Technology stocks may continue to participate in a broader market rally, but their dominance is no longer assured, according to Sevens Report President Tom Essaye.

Essaye says growing concerns that artificial intelligence could cannibalize parts of the software industry have created the most uncertain backdrop for the AI-driven bull market in three years. He points to the iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF (IGV) as a key barometer, arguing that the fund must stabilize before broader confidence in AI stocks can return.

In his view, IGV holding above last week’s low is critical. Without that technical support, skepticism surrounding AI spending, earnings sustainability, and lofty valuations could intensify. Essaye cautions investors against dismissing the recent weakness as routine volatility, noting that legitimate questions are emerging about whether expectations have outpaced reality.

That said, Sevens Report does not believe the outlook for AI and tech has turned outright negative. Major technology companies are still delivering earnings growth, but elevated expectations and aggressive capital-expenditure plans leave less room for error.

For investors seeking diversification, Essaye suggests looking beyond mega-cap tech to equal-weight, value, developed international, and low-volatility strategies. While tech can still win in a broader rally, its leadership may no longer be automatic.

Also, click here to view the full article published in Barron’s on February 12th, 2026. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.

If you want research that comes with no long term commitment, yet provides independent, value added, plain English analysis of complex macro topics, then begin your Sevens Report subscription today by clicking here.

To strengthen your market knowledge take a free trial of The Sevens Report.

Join hundreds of advisors from huge brokerage firms like Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch, Wells Fargo Advisors, Raymond James, and more! To start your quarterly subscription and see how The Sevens Report can help you grow your business, click here.

Tom Essaye Says Markets Trust The Rally’s Core Pillars Despite Political Noise

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Why Trump-Driven Selloffs Keep Becoming Buyable Dips

The TACO theory on Trump makes every ‘dip’ a buy, analyst says

“Trump is not going to willfully drive the markets or the economy into the ground. At least we hope not,” Tom Essaye, president and founder of Sevens Report Research, told Yahoo Finance’s Opening Bid.

The theory has become the defining feature of Trump’s current term, Essaye argues. The administration started the year laser-focused on Venezuela and has since taken aim at credit card companies over interest rates, healthcare providers over insurance costs, and even the Federal Reserve.

“The sheer volume will test the TACO theory,” Essaye said.

Despite the noise, the underlying “four pillars” of the market rally — earnings growth, stimulus, Fed support, and the AI boom — remain largely intact. Essaye suggests that while protection is “relatively cheap” and perhaps necessary for those with no hedge, the “buy the dip” mentality shouldn’t be abandoned just yet.

“One of the most important things in investing is being able to cut out the headline noise and stay focused on the big trends,” Essaye said. He points to financials and healthcare as prime examples and some of the best trades to make right now, as these sectors often sell off 3% to 5% on a single social media post, only for the threatened regulations to never materialize.

Investors should focus on earnings, underlying economic growth, and the likelihood the Fed will cut rates in the first half of the year, Essaye said. Not to mention, “AI enthusiasm is alive and well,” he added.

Ultimately, the TACO trade relies on the belief that the president’s greatest vanity is the stock market ticker. As long as that holds true, every policy-driven dip should not be viewed as a disaster, but as a tactical entry point, per Essaye.

Also, click here to view the full article published in Yahoo Finance on January 20th, 2026. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.

If you want research that comes with no long term commitment, yet provides independent, value added, plain English analysis of complex macro topics, then begin your Sevens Report subscription today by clicking here.

To strengthen your market knowledge take a free trial of The Sevens Report.

Join hundreds of advisors from huge brokerage firms like Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch, Wells Fargo Advisors, Raymond James, and more! To start your quarterly subscription and see how The Sevens Report can help you grow your business, click here.

Investors Are Pricing in a Soft Economic Landing – Tom Essaye Quoted in Bloomberg

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Tom Essaye says equities have room to run amid earnings growth optimism.

Stocks Close at Record, Nudged Higher as Cook Buys Nike Shares

“Investors are pricing in a soft economic landing with conviction as we approach the year-end,” said Tom Essaye, founder of the Sevens Report. He said that “equities have room to run amid optimism surrounding the potential for strong earnings growth in the quarters to come.”

Also, click here to view the full article published in Bloomberg on December 24th, 2025. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.

If you want research that comes with no long term commitment, yet provides independent, value added, plain English analysis of complex macro topics, then begin your Sevens Report subscription today by clicking here.

To strengthen your market knowledge take a free trial of The Sevens Report.

Join hundreds of advisors from huge brokerage firms like Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch, Wells Fargo Advisors, Raymond James, and more! To start your quarterly subscription and see how The Sevens Report can help you grow your business, click here.