Investors Are No Longer Willing To Pay Up Blindly For The Data Center Boom
Cheap AI stock valuations raise doubts about data center demand
Tom Essaye argues they may be saying something less comfortable: investors are no longer willing to pay up blindly for the data center boom.
Essaye, founder of Sevens Report Research, said in a Wednesday note that cheaper AI stock valuations could reflect fear that the current wave of data center spending may slow. That matters because growth stocks typically receive richer multiples when investors believe future earnings will justify them. When some of the market’s most visible AI-linked names trade close to, or below, the S&P 500’s forward price-to-earnings ratio of 21.5, the message is not simply that shares are inexpensive. It may be that investors are questioning whether the earnings they once expected will arrive.
Essaye framed the risk through a hypothetical example. “Think of it this way: GOOGL (to use one as an example) cancels building 10 data centers because it’s going to cost too much money and the return isn’t there,” he wrote. “That will result in massive order cancellations at NVDA, MU, AVGO, SNDK, etc., because no one needs the chips, networking, memory, or processor power,” he added.
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