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AI Stocks Lead Market Selloff, but Sevens Report Says “Nothing’s Gone Wrong”

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AI Stocks Lead Market Selloff, but Sevens Report Says “Nothing’s Gone Wrong”

Is the entire AI-driven rally suddenly at stake?

The Nasdaq suffered its worst week since April, falling 3% as mega-cap tech and AI-linked names led the decline. But according to Sevens Report Research, “nothing new” has gone wrong with the AI story.

The firm said the pullback reflects investors confronting “the tectonic gap between the amount of money being spent to build out AI capacity…and the paltry amount of revenue that AI is generating.”

That concern was highlighted when Apple reportedly agreed to pay Google only $1 billion to use its Gemini model in an AI-powered Siri — far less than AI bulls had hoped. “It reinforces the view that AI [is] not really being ‘worth’ that much to the end user,” Sevens noted.

Other developments, including Oracle’s heavy AI infrastructure spending and Meta’s post-earnings drop, fueled additional worries.

Still, Sevens emphasized that “nothing has occurred that makes us think the entire AI-driven rally is suddenly at stake.” The firm called the recent weakness a “sobering moment” rather than the start of a collapse, adding that without AI enthusiasm and capital spending, both the market rally and U.S. economic growth “would be much, much smaller.”

Also, click here to view the full article published in Investing.com on November 10th, 2025. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.

If you want research that comes with no long term commitment, yet provides independent, value added, plain English analysis of complex macro topics, then begin your Sevens Report subscription today by clicking here.

To strengthen your market knowledge take a free trial of The Sevens Report.

Join hundreds of advisors from huge brokerage firms like Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch, Wells Fargo Advisors, Raymond James, and more! To start your quarterly subscription and see how The Sevens Report can help you grow your business, click here.

Tom Essaye: AI Stocks Create Major Risk for S&P 500

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Valuation gap suggests index could fall 20% to align with the market

S&P 500 Heavily Reliant on AI Stocks

The S&P 500’s heavy reliance on AI-linked mega-cap tech stocks is creating a significant risk for investors, said Tom Essaye, founder of Sevens Report Research and former Merrill Lynch trader.

Essaye pointed to a valuation gap of nearly five full points between the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) and the Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF (RSP). To trade in line with the equal-weight index, the S&P 500 would need to decline by almost 1,500 points, he noted.

The disparity is being driven by the “magnificent seven” and AI-related names. Essaye warned that if enthusiasm for AI weakens—whether from reduced capex or slower adoption—the S&P 500 could drop more than 20% before valuations align.

He stressed that he is not predicting such a downturn but said the correlation between AI sentiment and the S&P 500 is “too strong to ignore.”

Also, click here to view the full article on finnewsnetwork.com.au published on September 25th, 2025. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.

If you want research that comes with no long term commitment, yet provides independent, value added, plain English analysis of complex macro topics, then begin your Sevens Report subscription today by clicking here.

To strengthen your market knowledge take a free trial of The Sevens Report.

Join hundreds of advisors from huge brokerage firms like Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch, Wells Fargo Advisors, Raymond James, and more! To start your quarterly subscription and see how The Sevens Report can help you grow your business, click here.

Sevens Report’s Tyler Richey: AI Stock Stumble Signals Bearish Exhaustion

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Mega-cap tech weakness poses broader risks to equity markets

AI stock boom starts to stumble as investors increase bets against sector

A recent stumble in AI-related stocks “highlights some degree of bearish exhaustion in the underlying AI narrative,” said Tyler Richey, co-editor at Sevens Report Research.

“There are signs the market is turning on AI stocks,” Richey warned, adding that a meaningful and lasting rethinking by investors could pose significant risks for the broader equity market. The concern stems from the heavy concentration of mega-cap tech stocks such as NVIDIA, Microsoft, and Meta within the S&P 500 and other major indexes.

“This could be extremely detrimental to even the most vanilla index strategies,” Richey said. With a record amount of U.S. personal wealth tied to equities, a major AI-driven drawdown could create a negative wealth effect, fueling a bear market in stocks and risk assets while pushing investors toward safe havens amid a weakening economy.

Also, click here to view the full article published in S&P Global on September 3rd, 2025. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.

If you want research that comes with no long term commitment, yet provides independent, value added, plain English analysis of complex macro topics, then begin your Sevens Report subscription today by clicking here.

To strengthen your market knowledge take a free trial of The Sevens Report.

Join hundreds of advisors from huge brokerage firms like Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch, Wells Fargo Advisors, Raymond James, and more! To start your quarterly subscription and see how The Sevens Report can help you grow your business, click here.