Why the Gaetz Withdrawal Sparked Yesterday’s Rally

What’s in Today’s Report: Why the Gaetz Withdrawal Sparked Yesterday’s Rally

Is Portugal a Problem?

Is Portugal  a Problem? The yield on Portuguese 10-year bonds has risen to 3.99% as of yesterday, the highest level since March, on concerns that financial difficulties at Banco Espirito Santo will result in a flare-up of the sovereign-debt crisis. I don’t know a ton about the subsidiary of BES that’s cash-strapped, or if there […]

When a Normal Correction Becomes Something More

When a Normal Correction Becomes Something More The market needs to pause/correct in the near future, but even if we get a decent correction (say > 5%), unless it invalidates one or more of the 4 core reasons stocks have rallied for 2+ years (what I call the 4 pillars of the rally), then it’s […]

A Look at the Economy 7.7.14

Last Week The most-important thing that happened last week was that the June jobs report and the June ISM manufacturing and non-manufacturing PMIs further implied the US economy is close to achieving “escape velocity” (meaning ending the era of around 2% GDP growth). Other than the obvious (that an accelerating economy is good for stocks), […]

Your Weekly Economic Cheat Sheet – 7.7.2014

Last Week The most important thing that happened last week was that the June jobs report and the June ISM manufacturing and non-manufacturing PMIs further implied the US economy is close to achieving “escape velocity” (meaning ending the era of around 2% GDP growth). Other than the obvious (that an accelerating economy is good for […]

June ADP Employment Report

APD Employment Report Non-Farm Payrolls surged 281K in June vs. (E) 213K Takeaway Yesterday’s ADP employment was far better than analyst expectations of just 213K. While the May data were left unrevised at 179K. Stock futures spiked up to session highs upon release of the report but quickly pared those gains as again buyers seemed […]