Are Junk Bonds Forecasting a “Top” in the Stock Market Again?
/in Investing/by Tom 2Even though the fundamental backdrop is favorable for stocks, the inevitability of a continued market rise is palpable. The “Pain Trade” is now clearly lower for both stocks and bonds. JNK, the junk bond ETF, accurately forecasted the July/early August decline in the stock market. Now, it’s rolling over again—providing a potential warning sign that […]
JNK Is Rolling Over – That Is a Warning Sign
/in Investing/by Tom 2JNK Is Rolling Over—That is A Warning Sign JNK, the junk bond ETF, accurately forecast the July/early August decline in the stock market. Now, it’s rolling over again—providing a potential warning sign that we may be in for another dip. In the July 22 issue of the Report, we included a chart that showed how […]
2 Reasons We May Be In for Another Sell-Off
/in Investing/by Tom 22 Reasons We May Be In For Another Sell-Off Even though the fundamental backdrop is favorable for stocks, the inevitability of a continued market rise is palpable. The “Pain Trade” is now clearly lower for both stocks and bonds. There were three pieces of anecdotal evidence yesterday to support my opinion (although, obviously, anecdotal evidence […]
Is This As Good As It Gets for the S&P 500?
/in Investing/by Tom 2Is This As Good As It Gets for the S&P 500? The outlook for U.S. stocks remains positive, as the “Four Pillars” of the rally remain intact: Global central bank accommodation (this was mildly solidified last week by the ECB and the soft jobs report), a clear macro-economic horizon (also further solidified by the Ukraine/Russia […]
Bond Bulls Not Done Yet
/in Investing/by Tom 2Bonds are rallying as bulls make a last stand
In Focus: ECB Decision
/in Investing/by Tom 2ECB Decision The ECB shocked/surprised markets last week by announcing a targeted, private-market QE program that will begin in October. This decision, combined with the start of the TLTRO, represents a significant bullish tailwind on the euro zone that should not be ignored. What Happened: The important event you need to be aware of from […]
Why the Gaetz Withdrawal Sparked Yesterday’s Rally
/in Investing, Reports/by Tom EssayeWhat’s in Today’s Report: Why the Gaetz Withdrawal Sparked Yesterday’s Rally