Goldilocks data that’s in-line with expectations is the best outcome

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Goldilocks data that’s in-line with expectations is the best outcome: Tom Essaye Interviewed On Yahoo Finance

S&P 500 Sees First Gain This Week as Tesla Up 22%: Markets Wrap

“Goldilocks data that’s in-line with expectations (so not too good or too bad) is the best outcome for a continued rebound in stocks and bonds,” said Tom Essaye at The Sevens Report.

Also, click here to view the full Bloomberg article on Yahoo Finance published on October 24th, 2024. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.

If you want research that comes with no long term commitment, yet provides independent, value added, plain English analysis of complex macro topics, then begin your Sevens Report subscription today by clicking here.

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Expectations for economic growth, inflation, and Federal Reserve policy

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Expectations for economic growth, inflation, and Federal Reserve policy: Sevens Report Editor, Tom Essaye, Quoted in Barron’s

This Stat Shows the Market Is Very Afraid of Election Day

Tom Essaye, founder and president of Sevens Report Research, isn’t so sure. He thinks it comes down to the things that always move the bond market—expectations for economic growth, inflation, and Federal Reserve policy.

Also, click here to view the full Barron’s article published on October 24th, 2024. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.

It’ll be Very Hard for This Market to RallyIf you want research that comes with no long term commitment, yet provides independent, value added, plain English analysis of complex macro topics, then begin your Sevens Report subscription today by clicking here.

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Growth and inflation have been firmer than expected

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Growth and inflation have been firmer than expected: Sevens Report Founder Tom Essaye Quoted in Morningstar

Why U.S. stock market’s slump on rising Treasury yields may be short-lived

While U.S. fiscal concerns tied to a potential Republican sweep in the upcoming election may be behind the 10-year Treasury yield’s rise, “it’s much more likely the 10-year yield has risen to three-month highs because growth and inflation have been firmer than expected,” according to a note Wednesday from Sevens Report Research.

“Economic growth since the Fed rate cut has been almost universally better than expected,” including the September jobs report, retail sales, data measuring the services sector and estimates from Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow model, the note said.

Also, click here to view the full MarketWatch article published on Morningstar on October 23rd, 2024. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.

Oil Inventories

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Tom Essaye Interviewed On Schwab Network

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 Boeing’s loss this quarter is breathtaking: Tom Essaye Interviewed On Schwab Network

Boeing (BA) Plummets on Double Earnings Miss

The size of Boeing’s (BA) loss this quarter is “breathtaking,” says Tom Essaye, going on to call the numbers “horrific.” But, he adds, what’s important is how well they execute on their recovery plan. Nicolas Owens notes the recent machinist strike cost Boeing billions of dollars, and that the new CEO is looking for “fundamental culture change.”

Also, click here to view the full interview with Schwab Network published on October 23rd, 2024. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.

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Barron’s Senior Managing Editor and Deputy Editor speak with Tom Essaye

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Semiconductor stocks have cycle-leading characteristics: Sevens Report Editor, Tom Essaye, interviewed on Barron’s Live

Talking Markets with Sevens’ Report Tom Essaye

Barron’s Senior Managing Editor Lauren R. Rublin and Deputy Editor Ben Levisohn speak with Tom Essaye, Founder and President of Sevens Report about the outlook for financial markets, industry sectors, and individual stocks.

Tom Essaye: Absolutely. So the number one message we’re trying to convey in the Sevens Report is for investors to really stay focused on economic growth. And the reason I say that is because if growth can’t hold up, then we have to talk about this rally potentially ending in a very uncomfortable way. And for those of us who have been in the markets for a long time, at least at the start of this century, we’ve seen that happen a few times and it’s very painful. And if you think about investing, those are really the types of markets we want to avoid. So with the Fed cutting rates, we now know that if growth rolls over, they will not be able to cut fast enough to prevent any sort of a slowdown. So to use the analogy, the die has been cast to a point. Now the Fed is cutting and we must see if growth holds up. Everything that’s going on around growth, so how many cuts are they going to have in 2024? What’s going to happen with the election? Is the Chinese stimulus going to be enough? All of those are ancillary issues, but the main issue is growth. Because if growth rolls over, now we have to talk about that being a rally-killing event and those are the big events we want everyone to be able to avoid.

Also, click here to view the full Barron’s interview published on MarketWatch on October 21st, 2024. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.

It’ll be Very Hard for This Market to RallyIf you want research that comes with no long term commitment, yet provides independent, value added, plain English analysis of complex macro topics, then begin your Sevens Report subscription today by clicking here.

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A market that remains firmly anchored by two key beliefs

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A market that remains firmly anchored by two key beliefs: Sevens Report Analysts Quoted in Investing.com

Why don’t stocks drop on bad news?

As per analysts at Sevens Report, this resilience reflects a market that remains firmly anchored by two key beliefs: economic growth will remain stable, and the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates—conditions that continue to support bullish sentiment despite growing risks.

Additionally, jobless claims surged to summer highs, suggesting some softening in the labor market. “However, that number was inflated by the Boeing strike and by unemployment related to the damage from Hurricane Helene in Florida and North Carolina,” the analysts said.

Sevens Report argues that part of the reason stocks haven’t wavered is that the risks, while real, haven’t yet materialized in ways that challenge the underlying narrative of a soft landing.

“The ‘burden of proof’ remained squarely on the bears,” the analysts said, no single negative development has been powerful enough to shift market sentiment away from expectations for stable growth and falling rates.

Also, click here to view the full article featured on Investing.com published on October 19th, 2024. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.

If you want research that comes with no long term commitment, yet provides independent, value added, plain English analysis of complex macro topics, then begin your Sevens Report subscription today by clicking here.

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A soft landing remains, by far, the most likely outcome for the economy

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A soft landing remains, by far, the most likely outcome for the economy: Sevens Report Analysts Quoted in Courthousenews.com

Dow Jones, S&P hit fresh highs in wake of good retail data

“A soft landing remains, by far, the most likely outcome for the economy as important economic data strengthened across multiple fronts over the past month,” Tom Essaye of the Sevens Report wrote in an investor’s note on Friday morning.

“Now, to be clear, this doesn’t mean that a hard landing can’t happen (or won’t happen), but it is not happening right now and there are few conclusive signals that it’s going to happen, at least at this point,” he continued.

Also, click here to view the full article on Courthousenews.com published on October 18th, 2024. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.

If you want research that comes with no long term commitment, yet provides independent, value added, plain English analysis of complex macro topics, then begin your Sevens Report subscription today by clicking here.

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Semiconductor stocks have cycle-leading characteristics

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Semiconductor stocks have cycle-leading characteristics: Sevens Report Editor, Tom Essaye, Quoted in Barron’s

Tech’s Moment of Truth Has Arrived

As Sevens Report President Tom Essaye notes, “semiconductor stocks have cycle-leading characteristics,” given their volatility and risky balance sheets, meaning they “begin to roll over before most of the rest of the market as traders rotate away to lower-beta, more value-oriented names during times of uncertainty, including economic downturns (but admittedly also “growth scares” such as 2022). So, as we continue to navigate an uncertain market landscape in the second half, the SOX are offering us a ‘canary in the market coal mine’ right now that could, and likely will, offer fair warning before a more meaningful decline in the broader market indexes, such as the S&P 500 , eventually begins to take shape.

Also, click here to view the full Barron’s article published on October 18th, 2024. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.

It’ll be Very Hard for This Market to RallyIf you want research that comes with no long term commitment, yet provides independent, value added, plain English analysis of complex macro topics, then begin your Sevens Report subscription today by clicking here.

To strengthen your market knowledge take a free trial of The Sevens Report.

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Almost everything is favoring the bear case for oil right now

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Almost everything is favoring the bear case for oil right now: Tom Essaye Quoted in Market Watch

Oil futures finish higher, but analyst sees bearish trend for prices

Despite the Middle East developments, “almost everything is favoring the bear case for oil right now,” said Tyler Richey, co-editor at Sevens Report Research. “Uncertainties about global economic growth amid recently commenced central bank rate-cutting cycles, OPEC+ planning to raise production targets by year-end and evidence of fading consumer demand in the high-frequency inventory data all support the oil bears here,” he told MarketWatch.

Also, click here to view the full MarketWatch article published on October 26th, 2024. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.

If you want research that comes with no long term commitment, yet provides independent, value added, plain English analysis of complex macro topics, then begin your Sevens Report subscription today by clicking here.

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Tom Essaye Interviewed On Yahoo Finance’s Morning Brief

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A slowing economy does not necessarily mean a recession: Tom Essaye Interviewed On Yahoo Finance

Economic, geopolitical risks could be rude awakening for market

“I want everybody to realize that a slowing economy does not necessarily mean a recession, but where stocks are right now, if growth even slows to sort of flat or sub 1%, you could see a 10% drop in the S&P 500, and we wouldn’t even be probably at fair value,” Sevens Report Research founder and president Tom Essaye tells Seana Smith and Brad Smith on the Morning Brief.’

“So look, things are good right now, but I do think the market is complacent to economic slowdown risks.”

Essaye has been “advocating for focusing on quality and lowering volatility” through ETFs, and views geopolitical risks to be a chief concern at the moment.

“And then also there’s going to be a lot of political uncertainty coming out of the election, because we’re all going to be trying to game what policy changes are going to occur. All of these things can combine to sort of fracture this perfect window we’re in in the markets,” Essay explains. “All I’m trying to do is remind investors that, hey, there are risks out there and that… the stock market can go two directions as well.”

Also, click here to view the full interview with Yahoo Finance published on October 15th, 2024. However, to see the Sevens Report’s full comments on the current market environment sign up here.

If you want research that comes with no long term commitment, yet provides independent, value added, plain English analysis of complex macro topics, then begin your Sevens Report subscription today by clicking here.

To strengthen your market knowledge take a free trial of The Sevens Report.

Join hundreds of advisors from huge brokerage firms like Morgan Stanley, Merrill Lynch, Wells Fargo Advisors, Raymond James, and more! To start your quarterly subscription and see how The Sevens Report can help you grow your business, click here.