Entries by Tom 2

The Economy: A Look Back and What’s Ahead

Economic data last week were stronger than their relatively low expectations, as concerns about the negative effects of the government shutdown had resulted in pretty low expectations for most of October’s economic releases.

The Economy: A Look Back and What’s Ahead

The most important thing that happened last week economically was that expectations for Fed tapering of QE were pulled forward a bit—from the previous “consensus” of mid-2014 to the early part of 2014— thanks mainly to an FOMC statement that wasn’t as “dovish” as expected plus a Jon Hilsenrath sentence that stated a December taper remains “on the table.” Interestingly, this change in expectation came despite decidedly mixed economic data.