Earnings and economic growth are still solid

“Earnings and economic growth (the two most important foundational forces for stocks) are still solid,” the analysts wrote.

Dr. Copper Flashes a Warning Sign

Copper futures, which are often looked at as a gauge of economic growth expectations or a leading indicator for a growth-speculation rallies in stocks, broke down to fresh three month lows yesterday. The technical violation is a clear warning sign for risk assets in the near term.  

Syria Political Map

Geopolitical Update: Bearish Catalyst or Excuse?, April 12, 2017

Geopolitical risk has reared its head over the past week, but while the potential military showdowns in Syria or North Korea are the focus of the media headlines, in reality these events aren’t so much direct risks on stocks as they are a reminder of just how priced to perfection the stock market is right […]

Fed Balance Sheet Primer

Fed Balance Sheet Primer, April 11, 2016

An excerpt below from today’s subscriber edition of Sevens Report. Fed Balance Sheet Primer Markets remain consumed by politics and geopolitics, but really the biggest macro surprise so far for 2017 came from the Fed last week, with the realization that they could begin to shrink their balance sheet in 2017. That event has potentially […]

Bullseye

Tom Essaye on “The Bell” Podcast with Dan Wiener and Adam Johnson

I was a guest on Adam Johnson’s podcast “The Bell” last week. We talk auto sales, free tuition, and a lot more. We were also joined by Dan Wiener, editor of the The Independent Adviser for Vanguard Investors, who shares his 5 favorite funds and most “liquid” investment. Get a free two-week trial of Tom Essaye’s Sevens Report—everything […]

Last Week and This Week in Economics, April 10, 2017

Last Week in Economics – 4.3.17 Signs of a slight loss of economic momentum continued last week, and while on an absolute level growth remains “fine,” stocks need consistently better data to off-set lack of action in Washington, and that’s simply not happening right now. As a result, stocks are “stuck” at the current levels […]

Jobs Report Preview

Jobs Report Preview, April 6, 2017

For the second month in a row the major issue for tomorrow’s jobs report is simple: Will it cause the Fed to consider more than three rate hikes in 2017? If the answer is “yes,” then that’s a headwind on stocks. If the answer is “no,” then stocks should comfortably maintain the current 2300-2400 trading […]