History suggests the answer is probably no

History suggests the answer is probably no. More often, the reversal of a yield-curve inversion has signaled that the wheels are about to come off the economy and the stock market with it, according to Tom Essaye, a former Merrill Lynch trader and founder of Sevens Report Research.

Market Multiple Table

What’s in Today’s Report: Why stocks dropped again (It wasn’t actual news), Market Multiple Table – May update, and more…

Tom Essaye Quoted in Barron’s on May 5th, 2022

China’s PMI this morning was horrific, that underscores that the Chinese economy is a…said Tom Essaye, founder of Sevens Report Research.

Tom Essaye Quoted in The Madison Leader Gazette on May 5, 2022

We should not have gone up 2% yesterday on the Fed news…said Tom Essaye, founder of Sevens Report Research.

Update on the Three Headwinds on Stocks

What’s in Today’s Report: Update on the three headwinds on stocks, Is inflation finally peaking? All about inflation (CPI Wednesday).

Graphs

What to Make of Yesterday’s Drop & Jobs Report Preview

What’s in Today’s Report: What to Make of Yesterday’s Drop, Jobs Report Preview, Natural Gas Update, and more…

Is the Fed’s Bark Worse than Its Bite?

What’s in Today’s Report: What the FOMC decision means for markets (Is the Fed’s bark worse than its bite?) EIA analysis and oil outlook.