History suggests the answer is probably no

History suggests the answer is probably no. More often, the reversal of a yield-curve inversion has signaled that the wheels are about to come off the economy and the stock market with it, according to Tom Essaye, a former Merrill Lynch trader and founder of Sevens Report Research.

Updated Fed Preview (75 bp Hike Today)

What’s in Today’s Report: Updated FOMC preview – The Fed will hike 75 bp today, A look at the TIPS market reveals increased confidence.

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FOMC Preview

What’s in Today’s Report: FOMC meeting preview, The S&P 500 approaches downside target: Chart, and more…

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Three Keys to a Bottom Updated (Not Good)

What’s in Today’s Report: Three keys to a bottom updated, Weekly market preview: All about the Fed, and Weekly economic cheat sheet.

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Why Stocks Dropped Yesterday

What’s in Today’s Report: Why stocks dropped yesterday, ECB takeaways and why fragmentation matters to markets, and more…

Tom Essaye Quoted in S&P Global on June 9, 2022

This is exactly what the Fed wants, the question is how quickly do we lose momentum…said Tom Essaye, president of Sevens Report Research.

The State of Inflation (CPI Preview and Inflation Expectations Update)

What’s in Today’s Report: The state of inflation: CPI preview and inflation expectations update, EIA data and oil market analysis.