History suggests the answer is probably no

History suggests the answer is probably no. More often, the reversal of a yield-curve inversion has signaled that the wheels are about to come off the economy and the stock market with it, according to Tom Essaye, a former Merrill Lynch trader and founder of Sevens Report Research.

Tom Essaye Quoted in Barron’s on July 22nd, 2022

You’ve seen a relief rally, the Fed maybe being slightly less hawkish than you think is…said Tom Essaye, founder of Sevens Report Research.

Sevens Report Analysts Quoted in Seeking Alpha on July 21st, 2022

Sevens Report Research said gasoline supplied, a measure of implied demand, only bounced by 459K bbl/day to 8.52M bbl/day last week.

Sevens Report Analysts Quoted in Market Watch on July 21st, 2022

Additionally, gasoline supplied, a measure of implied demand, only bounced by 459,000 b/d (barrels…wrote analysts at Sevens Report Research

What Happens After Inflation Peaks?

What’s in Today’s Report: What happens after inflation peaks? Fed decision Wednesday, Q2 GDP and inflation stats are the highlights.

Why the Transmission Protection Instrument Matters to Markets

What’s in Today’s Report: Why the transmission protection instrument matters to markets, ECB decision, Another sign inflation has peaked?

Technical Update: What Would Make This Bounce Sustainable?

What’s in Today’s Report: Technical update: What would make this bounce sustainable? EIA analysis and oil update, and more…