Return Documentation
S&P 500
DJ Industrial Average
NASDAQ 100
S&P MidCap 400
Russell 2000
MSCI EAFE TR USD (Foreign Developed)
MSCI EM TR USD (Emerging Markets)
MSCI ACWI Ex USA TR USD (Foreign Dev & EM)
S&P GSCI (Broad-Based Commodities)
WTI Crude Oil Q1 & YTD Return
Gold Price Q1 & YTD Return
BBgBarc US Agg Bond
BBgBarc US T-Bill 1-3 Mon
ICE US T-Bond 7-10 Year
BBgBarc US MBS (Mortgage-backed)
BBgBarc Municipal
BBgBarc US Corporate Invest Grade
BBgBarc US Corporate High Yield
Other Citations
Sector Performance Q1 & YTD
Value vs. Growth Q1 & YTD
Oil Hitting Highest Level Since 2022
Statements
In response, several prominent Republican Senators pushed back against the subpoenas and voiced support for Fed independence, easing market concerns.

https://www.reuters.com/world/us/us-senate-republicans-concerned-over-probe-powell-impact-fed-2026-01-12/

AI company Anthropic released a Claude Cowork app that caused a steep decline in the software sector, as fears surged that AI advancements could ultimately eliminate the need for entire sectors of the economy. That idea jolted investors’ previous opinions that AI was nearly all beneficial to the markets and economy.

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/5-industries-that-have-gotten-rocked-by-the-ai-scare-trade-defining-markets-this-year 164746958.html
Meanwhile, underlying fears of credit risks in private credit funds grew, as numerous large alternative asset managers limited redemptions from specific funds, fueling concerns there was a bubble in the industry.

https://www.advisorhub.com/trapped-in-private-credit-investors-wait-to-pull-out-5-billion/

Starting with geopolitics, the focus for markets remains on the price of oil. Elevated oil prices pose a risk for the markets and economy in multiple ways including 1) No Fed rate cuts as the Fed worries higher oil prices may spur inflation, 2) Depressed consumer spending as higher gas prices reduce disposable income and 3) Tighter corporate margins given increased transportation and infrastructure costs.

https://paulkrugman.substack.com/p/war-oil-and-the-world-economy
While analogies to the financial crisis are understandable, it’s important to realize the private credit market is much, much smaller than the markets that caused the financial crisis and Fed officials have recently said they see no indication of a systemic problem.

https://www.google.com/search?q=https://www.wsj.com/articles/private-credit-slow-burn-not-2008-explosion-2026

https://www.barrons.com/articles/private-credit-market-economy-d2387514?gaa_at=eafs&gaa_n=AWEtsqfkM-8f HIgM5_tZ-WP36JZIrNDDM 91UV66ICXbICUq1_1PcNs4to69UVrxtM%3D&gaa_ts=69cbf099&gaa_sig=JzlB6Opi94FVPV7x763 OvHFfpTYT06t5uFETHuJ5iTm6uicDqnKPbI7fv-ZUBKJcAaATtPsC9Er7m-bm4WLkQ%3D%3D

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/fed-chair-powell-sees-no-threat-of-private-credit-contagion-says-interest-rates-are-in a-good-place-165159434.html

https://www.barrons.com/articles/private-credit-market-economy-d2387514?utm_source=chatgpt.com

Finally, turning to AI, opinions on the impact of AI on the economy and markets have shifted from mostly positive to that of increased skepticism, and there are two main concerns associated with AI currently. First, that massive spending on AI infrastructure by large tech companies may ultimately have a poor ROI and depress future earnings. Second, that AI advancements may disrupt entire portions of the economy (such as the software sector) and lead to large job losses that hurt overall economic growth.​​​​​​​

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w9pqzI_4OUI

https://www.reuters.com/video/watch/idRW277610032026RP1/

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