Time to Buy XLE?

XLE 11.21.14

Time to Buy XLE?

Fundamentally, the outlook for oil remains broadly the same: Waiting on OPEC. But, as we discussed earlier this week, most major energy companies are not aggressively shutting in aggregate production, as increases from profitable wells are offsetting shut-ins from high-cost wells.

From a macro standpoint, pressure is mounting on OPEC, the Iranian negotiations may be breaking down and miss the late November deadline, and calls for sub $70 oil are very loud. So, we have energy stocks that are sharply off the highs and some potential positive catalysts on the horizon (OPEC meeting next week). So, to a point, XLE now has some “ok” fundamentals and potentially positive-turning technicals. Obviously this is a high risk/high return prospect, but XLE is worth a look especially if it breaks through that 50-day MA, which it should do today.

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