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Tom Essaye Interviewed with Yahoo Finance on November 27, 2019

Tom Essaye interviewed with Yahoo Finance’s Alexis Christoforous, Brian Sozzi and Jared Blikre to discuss the latest market action, U.S.-China trade deal, economy and more…Click here to watch the full interview.

Yahoo Finance Interview

Trade Hopes, Momentum, and New Highs

What’s in Today’s Report:

  • Bottom Line: Momentum and Hope Continue to Fuel the Rally
  • Weekly Economic Cheat Sheet: Focus on Friday’s Flash PMIs

U.S. futures are modestly higher and most international markets rallied overnight thanks to more trade war optimism and unexpected stimulus by China’s central bank.

A “constructive” phone call between China’s Liu He, USTR Lighthizer and Secretary Mnuchin reportedly took place on Saturday which is helping boosting hopes for a trade deal.

Additionally, the PBOC cut a key interest rate for the first time in 4 years, offering a dovish tailwind to risk assets this morning.

Today is lining up to be a fairly quiet session as far as catalysts go as there is just one economic report: Housing Market Index (E: 71) and only one Fed official is scheduled to speak: Mester (12:00 p.m. ET).

With trade war optimism continuing to be the main driver of this most recent run to new all-time highs the markets will remain keenly focused on any new developments or news regarding the “phase one” trade deal.

Tom Essaye Quoted in ETF Trends on November 7, 2019

“The last 24 hours have seen a bit of whiplash in the U.S./China trade drama, as a potentially negative headline yesterday has been more than offset by a positive one this morning. But “it’s fair to say that at these levels…” said Tom Essaye, founder of The Sevens Report, in a note to clients. Click here to read the full article.

What’s Priced Into Stocks Now?

What’s in Today’s Report:

  • What’s Priced into Stocks At These Levels?
  • Weekly Market Preview:  More Trade Updates Coming
  • Weekly Economic Cheat Sheet:  Key Data on Friday

Futures are modestly lower this morning thanks to disappointing U.S./China trade news and underwhelming economic data.

President Trump threw more cold water on the idea of existing tariff reduction over the weekend saying that the tariff reduction story was “over-reported.”

Economically, Chinese New Yuan Loans rose 12.4% vs. (E) 12.5%, while British IP & Q3 GDP slightly missed estimates.

Today should be relatively quiet as there are no economic reports today and no Fed speakers due to the Veteran’s Day holiday.  The bond market is also closed.

However, any trade news/commentary could cause larger than normal volatility given expected holiday trading volumes, so we’ll be watching the tape closely.

Tom Essaye Quoted in ETF Trends on September 3, 2019

“Going forward, stabilization in the U.S./China trade war is now the most important key to broader market stabilization,” said Tom Essaye, founder of The Sevens Report, in a note. Click here to read the full article.

Tom Essaye was Quoted in CNBC on August 5, 2019

Copper, a barometer for the global economy, drops to a 2-year low on trade war fears

“The combination of a disappointing Fed and an escalating trade war appears to be too much for this fragile global economy. The summer breakdown in copper…” said the Sevens Report’s Tom Essaye. Click here to read the full article.

Copper Pipes

Tom Essaye was Quoted in UPI on August 5, 2019

U.S. markets rebound after China moves to strengthen yuan

“Going forward, stabilization in the U.S.-China trade war is now the most important key to broader market stabilization,” analyst Tom Essaye said in a note to clients. Click here to read the full article.

 

Chinese soldiers march past the People's Bank of China

Tom Essaye was Quoted in CNBC on August 5, 2019

Dow jumps 300 points as Wall Street rebounds from the worst day of the year

“Going forward, stabilization in the U.S./China trade war is now the most important key to broader market stabilization…” said Tom Essaye, founder of The Sevens Report, in a note. Click here to read the full article.

A bank employee counts US currency and Chinese currency notes at a bank on August 6, 2019

Tom Essaye was Quoted in Unseen Opportunity on August 6, 2019

Is This the First Sign of a Chinese Meltdown?

“Going forward, stabilization in the U.S./China trade war is now the most important key to broader market stabilization…” wrote Tom Essaye, founder of The Sevens Report, in a note. Click here to read the full article.

Broken Tea Kettle

Tom Essaye Quoted in CNBC on July 16, 2019

Stocks fell from record highs on Tuesday after President Donald Trump cast doubt on the trade progress between China and the U.S. “Looking at this earnings season, the key question is: Will trade uncertainty cause businesses to pullback on spending and investment enough so that it begins to weigh on earnings?” said Tom Essaye, founder of the Sevens Report. Click here to read the full article.

Stock Trading Floor